The 112th Grey Cup kicks off Sunday, November 16, 2025, as the Montreal Alouettes face the Saskatchewan Roughriders at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg. This championship showdown features undefeated quarterback Davis Alexander (13-0) against veteran Trevor Harris, who’s chasing his third Grey Cup title.
Saskatchewan enters as the favorite, but Montreal brings serious momentum. The Alouettes won seven of their last eight games and feature a quarterback who’s never lost. The game starts at 6:00 PM ET on TSN, CTV, and CBS Sports Network.
Both teams split their regular-season meetings, with each winning on the road by double digits. The Roughriders finished 12-6 as West Division champions, while the Alouettes went 10-8 as the East’s second seed.
Grey Cup 2025 Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 16, 2025 |
| Time | 6:00 PM ET |
| Location | Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, Manitoba |
| TV Coverage | TSN, CTV, RDS (Canada) | CBS Sports Network (USA) |
| Championship | 112th Grey Cup |
This marks Saskatchewan’s first Grey Cup appearance since 2013, when they defeated Hamilton 45-23. Montreal returns for the second time in three years after winning in 2023 against Winnipeg 28-24.
Weather will be a major factor. Temperatures are expected below freezing with a high of just 2°C. Cold conditions favor the running game and make passing more difficult.
Current Game Analysis & Expert Opinions
Sports analysts have Saskatchewan as the favorite heading into Sunday’s championship. The Roughriders opened with a slight edge, and expert opinions have reinforced their status as the team to beat.
Expert Consensus:
- Saskatchewan Roughriders: Favored to win
- Montreal Alouettes: Strong underdog with upset potential
- Expected Score Range: Low-scoring defensive battle (45-52 total points)
The expert community remains divided on the outcome. Saskatchewan’s dominant regular season and Trevor Harris’s experience make them the logical choice. Montreal’s 5-1 record in their last six games suggests they’re peaking at the right time.
The game analysis reflects both teams’ elite defenses. Saskatchewan allowed the fewest points per game during the regular season at 22.7, while Montreal surrendered the fewest yards per play at 6.02. Experts expect a defensive struggle in frigid conditions.
Sports analysts note roughly 60% favor Saskatchewan, but Montreal’s recent performance keeps the discussion interesting. The Alouettes’ ability to win close games and Davis Alexander’s perfect record create compelling storylines.
Team Records & Season Performance
Saskatchewan Roughriders (12-6)
The Roughriders posted the CFL’s best record and dominated both sides of the ball. They ranked second in offensive yards (383.8 per game) while leading the league in scoring defense. Their balanced attack and turnover-forcing defense allowed only 38 explosive plays all season.
Saskatchewan reached the Grey Cup with a dramatic Western Final comeback. Trailing 21-14 late, Trevor Harris led a seven-play, 74-yard drive capped by Tommy Nield’s three-yard touchdown catch with 11 seconds left for a 24-21 victory over BC.
Montreal Alouettes (10-8)
Montreal struggled during midseason injuries but transformed once healthy. They won seven of their last eight games with an average margin of 8.8 points. Their defense led the CFL in fewest yards per play and gave up only 37 big plays.
The Alouettes beat Winnipeg 42-33 in the Eastern Semi-Final, then edged Hamilton 19-16 on a 45-yard field goal as time expired in the Eastern Final.
Head-to-Head (2025 Season)
The teams split 1-1, but Davis Alexander didn’t play in either game.
Week 9: Saskatchewan 34, Montreal 6 (Alexander injured)
Week 15: Montreal 48, Saskatchewan 31 (Alexander didn’t play)
These teams have never faced each other with Alexander under center, making Sunday’s matchup unpredictable.
Injury Report & Player Availability
| Team | Player | Position | Status | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal | Davis Alexander | QB | Questionable (90% healthy) | Critical – Hamstring limits mobility |
| Montreal | Mustafa Johnson | DT | Questionable | Game-time decision |
| Montreal | Ciante Evans | DB | OUT | Weakens secondary depth |
| Saskatchewan | KeeSean Johnson | WR | OUT | Top receiver unavailable |
| Saskatchewan | Joe Robustelli | WR | OUT | Depth hit at receiver |
| Saskatchewan | Phillipe Gagnon | G | OUT | Offensive line concerns |
| Saskatchewan | Daniel Johnson | OT | OUT | Protection scheme adjustments |
| Saskatchewan | Shane Ray | DE | OUT | Pass rush weakened |
Montreal Alouettes:
Davis Alexander (QB) – QUESTIONABLE: Reaggravated his hamstring in the Eastern Final. Alexander says he’s “90% healthy” and expects to play. Head coach Jason Maas will adjust if Alexander can’t move freely. The hamstring limits his scrambling ability but he can still operate from the pocket.
Saskatchewan Roughriders:
Saskatchewan loses two starting receivers and multiple offensive linemen. Samuel Emilus becomes Trevor Harris’s primary target with KeeSean Johnson and Joe Robustelli both ruled out.
Quarterback Matchup Analysis
| Category | Trevor Harris (Saskatchewan) | Davis Alexander (Montreal) |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 27 |
| Career Record as Starter | Veteran with 100+ starts | 13-0 (undefeated) |
| 2025 Passing Yards | 4,549 yards | Limited by injury (9 games) |
| Touchdowns | 24 TDs | 2 TDs (playoffs only) |
| Completion % | 73.6% (led CFL) | 71.7% (playoffs) |
| Deep Ball Accuracy | 53.8% on 20+ yard passes | Strong arm talent |
| Grey Cup Experience | 4 appearances (2 wins) | First appearance |
| Playoff Rushing | Minimal | 96 yards, 1 TD on 10 carries |
| Injury Status | Healthy | 90% (hamstring) |
| X-Factor | Championship experience | Undefeated mystique |
Trevor Harris – Saskatchewan (Age 39)
Harris is playing elite football at 39. His accuracy and deep ball mastery separate him from other quarterbacks. He’s completed an astounding 53.8% of passes traveling 20+ yards downfield.
This is Harris’s fourth Grey Cup appearance. He won championships in 2012 (Toronto) and 2016 (Ottawa). His experience in big games gives Saskatchewan confidence. Against Montreal this season, he threw for 541 combined yards with a 3:1 TD:INT ratio.
In the Western Final, Harris threw for 305 yards and two touchdowns, including the game-winner with 12 seconds left.
Davis Alexander – Montreal (Age 27)
Alexander has never lost a CFL game he’s started. His dual-threat ability creates matchup problems. He rushed for 96 yards on 10 playoff carries and extends plays with his legs.
The hamstring injury limits his mobility. He can still throw from the pocket, but defenses don’t have to respect his scrambling as much. His swagger and confidence energize Montreal’s offense.
Against Hamilton, Alexander completed 19 of 26 passes for 210 yards with one touchdown and led the team in rushing with 64 yards. This is his first Grey Cup appearance.
Key Players to Watch
Saskatchewan:
A.J. Ouellette (RB): Rushed for 113 yards in Western Final. Won Grey Cup with Toronto in 2022. Cold weather increases his importance.
Samuel Emilus (WR): Becomes primary target with Johnson and Robustelli out. Had 100 yards on nine catches against BC.
Tommy Nield (WR): Caught game-winning TD in Western Final. Reliable in short and intermediate areas.
Tevaughn Campbell & Marcus Sayles (CBs): Elite boundary corners who limit explosive plays.
Montreal:
Tyler Snead (WR): Led team with 117 targets, 84 catches, 1,129 yards. Thrives in slot where cold weather favors shorter routes.
Stevie Scott III (RB): Rushed for 133 yards and two TDs against Winnipeg. Physical runner who opens play-action.
Charleston Rambo (WR): Made crucial catches on game-winning drive vs Hamilton. Clutch in third-down situations.
Jose Maltos (K): Led CFL with 58 field goals. Hit 45-yarder as time expired to beat Hamilton.
Expert Predictions & Analysis
Why Saskatchewan Could Win:
The Roughriders posted the best record and feature championship experience with Trevor Harris. Their defense allowed fewest points per game and should dominate in cold weather. Harris’s 73.6% completion rate and four Grey Cup appearances give him an edge. Alexander’s hamstring limits his biggest weapon – mobility.
Why Montreal Could Win:
Alexander’s 13-0 record defies logic. Montreal is 3-0 against Saskatchewan in playoff history, including Grey Cup wins in 2009 (28-27) and 2010 (21-18). The Alouettes went 7-1 in their last eight with an 8.8-point margin. Their defense allowed fewest yards per play and gave up fewest big plays in the CFL.
The Alouettes have momentum on their side. They’re playing their best football at the perfect time while Saskatchewan has shown some offensive struggles recently.
Key Statistical Trends:
- Montreal: Won 5 of last 6 games convincingly
- Saskatchewan: Lower scoring in last five games
- Head-to-head: High-scoring games (average 52.4 points combined)
- Montreal: 3-0 vs Saskatchewan in playoff history
Weather Impact
Temperatures below 0°C with a high of 2°C create challenges for both quarterbacks. Cold weather favors defenses and running games. Footballs are harder to grip and passes lose accuracy.
Harris relies on precision passing while Alexander’s mobility could worsen as muscles tighten. Running backs A.J. Ouellette and Stevie Scott III gain importance. Experts expect a defensive struggle with lower scoring than usual.
The cold conditions will test both offenses and likely result in more conservative play-calling focused on the ground game.
Final Prediction & Winner Analysis
Saskatchewan deserves favorite status with the best record and Trevor Harris’s experience. The Roughriders dominated both sides of the ball and Harris has two Grey Cup rings.
Montreal brings the ultimate intangible: an undefeated quarterback. Alexander is 13-0 and finds ways to win. The Alouettes are 3-0 against Saskatchewan in playoff history and won seven of eight to close the season.
Several factors favor Montreal. The Alouettes are playing their best football at the perfect time. Saskatchewan has shown some offensive struggles recently with lower-scoring performances.
Cold weather impacts both teams differently. Harris needs precision passing while Alexander’s running ability (even at 90%) gives Montreal an extra dimension.
Our Expert Pick: Montreal Alouettes to Win
The analysis supports an upset victory for Montreal. Davis Alexander’s perfect record, Montreal’s playoff dominance over Saskatchewan, and their current momentum create a compelling case.
Final Score Prediction: Montreal 24, Saskatchewan 23
The Alouettes continue their magical season with Alexander improving to 14-0. Montreal captures their ninth Grey Cup championship in a thriller that mirrors their 2009 one-point victory over Saskatchewan.
Why This Prediction:
- Davis Alexander Factor: He’s 13-0 as a starter and has championship DNA
- Playoff History: Montreal is 3-0 vs Saskatchewan in postseason games
- Current Form: Alouettes won 7 of last 8 games
- Defensive Strength: Montreal allowed fewest yards per play in CFL
- Intangibles: Momentum, confidence, and underdog motivation
Saskatchewan has every statistical advantage, but Montreal owns the intangible factors. This should be an instant classic Grey Cup that fans remember for years.
Both teams have legitimate paths to victory. Harris’s experience versus Alexander’s magic. Saskatchewan’s dominance versus Montreal’s momentum. The championship could genuinely swing either way, making it must-watch television for CFL fans across North America.
Disclaimer: This article provides sports analysis, predictions, and information for entertainment purposes only. All predictions are based on available statistics, team performance data, and expert sports analysis.
